Tuna Terminal

US · Nasdaq · WMT

Walmart (WMT) stock analysis: valuation and financials

Consumer Discretionary · Department/Specialty Retail Stores

$112.81 -0.2% Price as of Oct 12, 2026

Bottom line

Narrow-moat scale retailer: 4.7% revenue growth, 3.0% net margin, low 0.82x net debt/EBITDA; but 40.6x P/E prices 22.2% implied FCF growth — risk/reward negative.

Market cap
$897.1B
P/E
40.6x
EV/Sales
1.3x
FCF yield
1.5%
Dividend yield
0.9%
52-week range
$100.61 – $134.20
Next earnings
Nov 19, 2026

Research as of Oct 13, 2026

Business quality scorecard

0–100, computed from reported financials; higher is better, and a higher valuation score means cheaper.

How it makes money

Customers and members pay everyday low prices for grocery, general merchandise, health and wellness and fuel across roughly 10,900 stores and eCommerce, plus membership, advertising and marketplace fees, and Walmart U.S. is the profit engine at 76.9% of FY2026 segment operating income.

Financials by year

FY2022Feb 2021–Jan 2022FY2023Feb 2022–Jan 2023FY2024Feb 2023–Jan 2024FY2025Feb 2024–Jan 2025FY2026Feb 2025–Jan 2026
Revenue$572.8B$611.3B$648.1B$681.0B$713.2B
Revenue growth+2.4%+6.7%+6.0%+5.1%+4.7%
Gross margin25.1%24.1%24.4%24.9%24.9%
Operating margin4.5%3.3%4.2%4.3%4.2%
Net income$13.7B$11.7B$15.5B$19.4B$21.9B
Free cash flow$11.1B$12.0B$15.1B$12.7B$14.9B
FCF margin1.9%2.0%2.3%1.9%2.1%

Amounts in USD · What is free cash flow?

Margins Gross margin FY2026 24.93% vs 24.85% (+8bps); operating margin 4.18% vs 4.31% (-13bps). TTM gross margin 25.23%, operating margin 4.39%. Q2 FY2027 gross margin 26.14% (+98bps y/y) on $2.9B tariff refunds, offset by SG&A inflation.

Balance sheet Leverage · Low

Cash & short-term investments
$11.5B
Total debt
$50.4B
Net debt
$38.9B
Net debt / EBITDA
0.8x
Interest coverage
17.4x
Current ratio
0.8x

As of Jul 31, 2026 · Amounts in USD · How to read a balance sheet

Management and track record

Of 9 guided figures checked: 9 beat, 0 in range, 0 missed.

Valuation range

Bear$22.79-79.8% vs price
Base$54.25-51.9% vs price
Bull$98.86-12.4% vs price

Implied value per share · Price when researched: $112.81

Each scenario assumes five years of revenue growth, an FCF margin and an exit multiple, discounted to today. The assumptions and sensitivities are in the full report.

The full report also covers

The full report is for members.

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