Tuna Terminal

US · NYSE · V

Visa (V) stock analysis: valuation and financials

Consumer Discretionary · Business Services

$391.46 +1.6% Price as of Oct 12, 2026

Bottom line

Wide-moat network, 49% FCF margin, 0.4x net leverage, 14.4% TTM growth; but $391.46 already discounts 12.5% ten-year FCF growth, base case ~14% downside. Neutral.

Market cap
$699.4B
P/E
31.5x
EV/Sales
16.5x
FCF yield
3.0%
52-week range
$295.52 – $385.45
Next earnings
Oct 27, 2026

Research as of Oct 13, 2026

Business quality scorecard

0–100, computed from reported financials; higher is better, and a higher valuation score means cheaper.

How it makes money

Issuers, acquirers, merchants and other network clients pay per-transaction, volume-based and service fees; data processing ($20.0B, 50.0% of FY2025 net revenue) and service revenue ($17.5B, 43.9%) are the profit engine, at a 60.0% FY2025 operating margin.

Financials by year

FY2021Oct 2020–Sep 2021FY2022Oct 2021–Sep 2022FY2023Oct 2022–Sep 2023FY2024Oct 2023–Sep 2024FY2025Oct 2024–Sep 2025
Revenue$24.1B$29.3B$32.7B$35.9B$40.0B
Revenue growth+10.3%+21.6%+11.4%+10.0%+11.3%
Operating margin65.6%64.2%64.3%65.7%60.0%
Net income$12.3B$15.0B$17.3B$19.7B$20.1B
Free cash flow$14.5B$17.9B$19.7B$18.7B$21.6B
FCF margin60.2%61.0%60.3%52.0%53.9%

Amounts in USD · What is free cash flow?

Margins Gross margin is not disclosed for this network model; operating margin fell to 59.99% in FY2025 from 65.68% in FY2024 (-569bp), driven by the $2.2B interchange litigation accrual, then recovered to 61.12% TTM and 64.42% in Q2 FY2026.

Balance sheet Leverage · Low

Cash & short-term investments
$12.4B
Total debt
$24.0B
Net debt
$11.6B
Net debt / EBITDA
0.4x
Interest coverage
42.3x
Current ratio
1.1x

As of Mar 31, 2026 · Amounts in USD · How to read a balance sheet

Management and track record

Valuation range

Bear$197.12-49.6% vs price
Base$338.36-13.6% vs price
Bull$511.89+30.8% vs price

Implied value per share · Price when researched: $391.46

Each scenario assumes five years of revenue growth, an FCF margin and an exit multiple, discounted to today. The assumptions and sensitivities are in the full report.

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