US · Nasdaq · TEM
Tempus AI (TEM) stock analysis: valuation and financials
Technology · Computer Software: Programming, Data Processing
$70.17 +2.7% Price as of Oct 15, 2026
Diagnostic testing drives 83.4% high growth, and the data platform constitutes a narrow moat; however, the company remains persistently loss-making, with an FCF margin of -18.4% and annualized share dilution of 40.4%; at an 8.9x price-to-sales multiple, the base case implies significant downside.
- Market cap
- $12.7B
- P/E
- —
- EV/Sales
- 8.5x
- FCF yield
- -2.1%
- 52-week range
- $41.55 – $103.25
- Next earnings
- Nov 3, 2026
Research as of Oct 15, 2026 · Translated from the Chinese report
Business quality scorecard
- Growth100
- Profitability0
- Cash flow7
- Balance sheet67
- Capital allocation0
- Innovation66
- Valuation0
0–100, computed from reported financials; higher is better, and a higher valuation score means cheaper.
How it makes money
Insurers, patients, and pharmaceutical companies pay for diagnostic testing (75.1% of revenue), while pharmaceutical companies separately pay for data licensing and trial matching; segment profit is not disclosed, FY2025 operating margin was -19.9%, and the data business has a higher gross margin but no quantitative disclosure is provided.
Financials by year
| FY2022Jan–Dec 2022 | FY2023Jan–Dec 2023 | FY2024Jan–Dec 2024 | FY2025Jan–Dec 2025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $320.7M | $531.8M | $693.4M | $1.3B |
| Revenue growth | — | +65.8% | +30.4% | +83.4% |
| Operating margin | -82.8% | -36.9% | -99.7% | -19.9% |
| Net income | -$289.8M | -$214.1M | -$705.8M | -$245.0M |
| Free cash flow | -$186.6M | -$248.9M | -$211.2M | -$239.1M |
| FCF margin | -58.2% | -46.8% | -30.5% | -18.8% |
Amounts in USD · What is free cash flow?
Margins Operating margin narrowed from -99.7% in FY2024 to -19.9% in FY2025, TTM -19.8%, and Q2 FY2026 was -19.9%, with net income of US$5.6 million turning positive for the first time; the main reasons were share-based compensation falling from US$534.1 million to US$124.7 million and revenue growth of 83.4% diluting SG&A; gross margin was not disclosed in the data.
- Cash flow ConcernTTM operating cash flow was -US$237.4 million and free cash flow was -US$263.2 million, with an FCF margin of -18.4%; FY2025 operating cash flow of -US$218.1 million was slightly better than net income of -US$245.0 million, with the difference mainly from non-cash share-based compensation and depreciation and amortization.
- Debt LowNet debt was -US$599.6 million (i.e., net cash of US$599.6 million, with cash also US$599.6 million); leverage status is net cash, about 4.7% of the US$12.74 billion market capitalization; the balance sheet has no interest-bearing net debt pressure.
Balance sheet Leverage · Net cash
- Cash & short-term investments
- $599.6M
- Total debt
- —
- Net cash
- $599.6M
- Current ratio
- 3.3x
As of Jun 30, 2026 · Amounts in USD · How to read a balance sheet
Management and track record
- Management AdequateStrong execution: FY2025 revenue of US$1.272 billion, +83.4% year over year, operating margin narrowed from -99.7% to -19.9%, three-year revenue CAGR of 58.3%
- Credibility MediumRevenue guidance is credible: FY2025 actual was US$1.272 billion, above the November guidance of about US$1.265 billion and the August guidance of about US$1.26 billion, with full-year growth of 83.4%; FY2026 guidance was raised twice to US$1.595 billion–US$1.605 billion.
Of 2 guided figures checked: 2 beat, 0 in range, 0 missed.
Valuation range
Implied value per share · Price when researched: $70.17
Each scenario assumes five years of revenue growth, an FCF margin and an exit multiple, discounted to today. The assumptions and sensitivities are in the full report.
The full report also covers
- Revenue, growth and outlook of each segment
- Moat and main competitors
- Key risks
- Capital allocation: where the free cash flow went
- What management promised, and what they delivered
- Scenario assumptions and sensitivities
- A source for every claim
- Ask AI about this company
The full report is for members.