Tuna Terminal

US · Nasdaq · TEM

Tempus AI (TEM) stock analysis: valuation and financials

Technology · Computer Software: Programming, Data Processing

$70.17 +2.7% Price as of Oct 15, 2026

Bottom line

Diagnostic testing drives 83.4% high growth, and the data platform constitutes a narrow moat; however, the company remains persistently loss-making, with an FCF margin of -18.4% and annualized share dilution of 40.4%; at an 8.9x price-to-sales multiple, the base case implies significant downside.

Market cap
$12.7B
P/E
—
EV/Sales
8.5x
FCF yield
-2.1%
52-week range
$41.55 – $103.25
Next earnings
Nov 3, 2026

Research as of Oct 15, 2026 · Translated from the Chinese report

Business quality scorecard

0–100, computed from reported financials; higher is better, and a higher valuation score means cheaper.

How it makes money

Insurers, patients, and pharmaceutical companies pay for diagnostic testing (75.1% of revenue), while pharmaceutical companies separately pay for data licensing and trial matching; segment profit is not disclosed, FY2025 operating margin was -19.9%, and the data business has a higher gross margin but no quantitative disclosure is provided.

Financials by year

FY2022Jan–Dec 2022FY2023Jan–Dec 2023FY2024Jan–Dec 2024FY2025Jan–Dec 2025
Revenue$320.7M$531.8M$693.4M$1.3B
Revenue growth—+65.8%+30.4%+83.4%
Operating margin-82.8%-36.9%-99.7%-19.9%
Net income-$289.8M-$214.1M-$705.8M-$245.0M
Free cash flow-$186.6M-$248.9M-$211.2M-$239.1M
FCF margin-58.2%-46.8%-30.5%-18.8%

Amounts in USD · What is free cash flow?

Margins Operating margin narrowed from -99.7% in FY2024 to -19.9% in FY2025, TTM -19.8%, and Q2 FY2026 was -19.9%, with net income of US$5.6 million turning positive for the first time; the main reasons were share-based compensation falling from US$534.1 million to US$124.7 million and revenue growth of 83.4% diluting SG&A; gross margin was not disclosed in the data.

Balance sheet Leverage · Net cash

Cash & short-term investments
$599.6M
Total debt
—
Net cash
$599.6M
Current ratio
3.3x

As of Jun 30, 2026 · Amounts in USD · How to read a balance sheet

Management and track record

Of 2 guided figures checked: 2 beat, 0 in range, 0 missed.

Valuation range

Bear$4.27-93.9% vs price
Base$23.33-66.8% vs price
Bull$79.34+13.1% vs price

Implied value per share · Price when researched: $70.17

Each scenario assumes five years of revenue growth, an FCF margin and an exit multiple, discounted to today. The assumptions and sensitivities are in the full report.

The full report also covers

The full report is for members.

More US stocks