Tuna Terminal

US · Nasdaq · QCOM

Qualcomm (QCOM) stock analysis: valuation and financials

Technology · Radio And Television Broadcasting And Communications Equipment

$173.53 +0.8% Price as of Oct 19, 2026

Bottom line

Narrow-moat chip plus royalty franchise: 55.4% gross margin, $12.8B FY2025 FCF, net debt 0.42x EBITDA, yet 3-year revenue CAGR 0.1% and 19.7x P/E leave base-case upside of only 4.9% — hold.

Market cap
$182.2B
P/E
19.7x
EV/Sales
4.2x
FCF yield
5.7%
Dividend yield
2.1%
52-week range
$124.07 – $251.02
Next earnings
Nov 4, 2026

Research as of Oct 20, 2026

Business quality scorecard

0–100, computed from reported financials; higher is better, and a higher valuation score means cheaper.

How it makes money

Qualcomm sells Snapdragon and Dragonwing chipsets to handset, automotive and IoT device makers and licenses its cellular patent portfolio for per-unit royalties; QCT is the revenue engine at 87.3% of segment revenue, while QTL's roughly flat $5.6B of licensing carries the higher margin percentage.

Financials by year

FY2021Oct 2020–Sep 2021FY2022Oct 2021–Sep 2022FY2023Oct 2022–Sep 2023FY2024Oct 2023–Sep 2024FY2025Oct 2024–Sep 2025
Revenue$33.6B$44.2B$35.8B$39.0B$44.3B
Revenue growth+42.6%+31.7%-19.0%+8.8%+13.7%
Gross margin57.5%57.8%55.7%56.2%55.4%
Operating margin29.2%35.9%21.7%25.8%27.9%
Net income$9.0B$12.9B$7.2B$10.1B$5.5B
Free cash flow$8.6B$6.8B$9.8B$11.2B$12.8B
FCF margin25.8%15.5%27.5%28.6%28.9%

Amounts in USD · What is free cash flow?

Margins Gross margin 55.4% in FY2025 versus 56.2% in FY2024 and 54.2% TTM (-0.8pp), sliding to 53.1% in Q3 FY2026; operating margin 27.9% in FY2025 and 23.2% TTM. The main cause is mix shifting away from high-margin QTL licensing toward QCT chips with rising product costs.

Balance sheet Leverage · Low

Cash & short-term investments
$8.3B
Total debt
$13.3B
Net debt
$5.0B
Net debt / EBITDA
0.4x
Interest coverage
14.8x
Current ratio
2.0x

As of Jun 28, 2026 · Amounts in USD · How to read a balance sheet

Management and track record

Of 17 guided figures checked: 12 beat, 4 in range, 1 missed.

Valuation range

Bear$91.47-47.3% vs price
Base$182.06+4.9% vs price
Bull$322.47+85.8% vs price

Implied value per share · Price when researched: $173.53

Each scenario assumes five years of revenue growth, an FCF margin and an exit multiple, discounted to today. The assumptions and sensitivities are in the full report.

The full report also covers

The full report is for members.

More US stocks