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Procter & Gamble (PG) stock analysis: valuation and financials

Consumer Discretionary · Package Goods/Cosmetics

$153.34 +0.1% Price as of Oct 12, 2026

Bottom line

Wide-moat staples franchise: 50.2% gross margin, $15.2B FCF, net debt/EBITDA 1.06x, but 2.0% 3-year revenue CAGR and slipping margins; base case -15.9% vs price. Quality high, valuation demanding.

Market cap
$356.1B
P/E
22.2x
EV/Sales
4.4x
FCF yield
4.3%
52-week range
$138.04 – $167.20
Next earnings
Oct 22, 2026

Research as of Oct 13, 2026

Business quality scorecard

0–100, computed from reported financials; higher is better, and a higher valuation score means cheaper.

How it makes money

P&G sells branded daily-use consumer goods to retailers, distributors and, increasingly, directly to consumers in about 180 countries; Fabric & Home Care is the profit engine, at 35% of net sales and 35% of net earnings.

Financials by year

FY2022Jul 2021–Jun 2022FY2023Jul 2022–Jun 2023FY2024Jul 2023–Jun 2024FY2025Jul 2024–Jun 2025FY2026Jul 2025–Jun 2026
Revenue$80.2B$82.0B$84.0B$84.3B$87.0B
Revenue growth+5.3%+2.3%+2.5%+0.3%+3.3%
Gross margin47.4%47.9%51.4%51.2%50.2%
Operating margin22.2%22.1%22.1%24.3%22.7%
Net income$14.7B$14.7B$14.9B$16.0B$16.0B
Free cash flow$13.6B$13.8B$16.5B$14.0B$15.1B
FCF margin16.9%16.8%19.7%16.7%17.4%

Amounts in USD · What is free cash flow?

Margins FY2026 gross margin fell 100bps to 50.2% (FY2025 51.2%) and operating margin 160bps to 22.7% (24.3%), worsening through the year: Q4 FY2026 gross margin 48.5% and operating margin 18.6%. Unfavorable product mix (-120bps) and product/packaging investment (-70bps) led the decline; manufacturing productivity added 180bps.

Balance sheet Leverage · Moderate

Cash & short-term investments
$9.9B
Total debt
$34.1B
Net debt
$24.2B
Net debt / EBITDA
1.1x
Interest coverage
22.5x
Current ratio
0.7x

As of Jun 30, 2026 · Amounts in USD · How to read a balance sheet

Management and track record

Of 11 guided figures checked: 7 beat, 3 in range, 1 missed.

Valuation range

Bear$75.92-50.5% vs price
Base$129.00-15.9% vs price
Bull$203.55+32.7% vs price

Implied value per share · Price when researched: $153.34

Each scenario assumes five years of revenue growth, an FCF margin and an exit multiple, discounted to today. The assumptions and sensitivities are in the full report.

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