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US · NYSE · MA

Mastercard (MA) stock analysis: valuation and financials

Consumer Discretionary · Business Services

$598.53 +1.6% Price as of Oct 12, 2026

Bottom line

Wide-moat network with 16.4% FY2025 growth, 58.3% operating margin, 94.2% ROIC and 0.62x net debt/EBITDA; 26x EV/EBIT and reverse DCF implying 11.9% FCF growth make it fully priced.

Market cap
$524.3B
P/E
—
EV/Sales
15.3x
FCF yield
3.2%
52-week range
$471.55 – $599.86
Next earnings
Oct 29, 2026

Research as of Oct 13, 2026

Business quality scorecard

0–100, computed from reported financials; higher is better, and a higher valuation score means cheaper.

How it makes money

Issuers, acquirers and partners pay network assessments on $10.6T GDV plus switching and services fees; payment network is 59.4% of revenue, value-added services 40.6% and fastest-growing (+22.9% yoy), with a 57.6% operating margin.

Financials by year

FY2021Jan–Dec 2021FY2022Jan–Dec 2022FY2023Jan–Dec 2023FY2024Jan–Dec 2024FY2025Jan–Dec 2025
Revenue$29.8B$22.2B$25.1B$28.2B$32.8B
Revenue growth+26.4%-25.5%+12.9%+12.2%+16.4%
Operating margin33.8%55.2%55.8%55.3%57.6%
Free cash flow$9.1B$10.8B$11.6B$14.3B$17.2B
FCF margin30.3%48.4%46.3%50.8%52.3%

Amounts in USD · What is free cash flow?

Margins No gross margin is reported (no cost-of-revenue line). Operating margin rose to 57.6% in FY2025 from 55.3% in FY2024, 58.3% TTM and 60.2% in Q2 FY2026 (58.7% a year earlier). Main reason: revenue +16.4% outgrew operating expenses +10%, plus lower litigation charges.

Balance sheet Leverage · Low

Cash & short-term investments
$11.3B
Total debt
$24.6B
Net debt
$13.4B
Net debt / EBITDA
0.6x
Interest coverage
27.4x
Current ratio
1.1x

As of Jun 30, 2026 · Amounts in USD · How to read a balance sheet

Management and track record

Valuation range

Bear$287.46-52.0% vs price
Base$515.45-13.9% vs price
Bull$822.93+37.5% vs price

Implied value per share · Price when researched: $598.53

Each scenario assumes five years of revenue growth, an FCF margin and an exit multiple, discounted to today. The assumptions and sensitivities are in the full report.

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