Tuna Terminal

Hong Kong · HKEX · 03690

Meituan (03690) stock analysis: valuation and financials

专业零售

HK$72.30 +0.7% Price as of Oct 13, 2026

Bottom line

Dominant local-commerce network with CNY79.6B net cash, but FY2025 growth slowed to 8.1% and subsidies drove a CNY23.4B net loss; at 1.0x sales no recovery is priced in.

Market cap
HK$446.5B
P/E
—
EV/Sales
0.8x
FCF yield
-10.5%
52-week range
HK$64.25 – HK$106.10

Research as of Oct 14, 2026

Business quality scorecard

0–100, computed from reported financials; higher is better, and a higher valuation score means cheaper.

How it makes money

Consumers and merchants pay Meituan per-order delivery and transaction commissions plus merchant advertising across food delivery, in-store dining/hotel/travel and instant retail, and this commission-and-advertising core is the profit engine even though FY2025 revenue of 364.9B CNY carried an operating margin of -6.9% during heavy reinvestment.

Financials by year

FY2021Jan–Dec 2021FY2022Jan–Dec 2022FY2023Jan–Dec 2023FY2024Jan–Dec 2024FY2025Jan–Dec 2025
Revenue¥179.1B¥220.0B¥276.7B¥337.6B¥364.9B
Revenue growth+56.0%+22.8%+25.8%+22.0%+8.1%
Gross margin23.7%28.1%35.1%38.4%30.4%
Operating margin-12.9%-2.6%4.8%10.9%-6.9%
Net income-¥23.5B-¥6.7B¥13.9B¥35.8B-¥23.4B
Free cash flow-¥13.0B¥5.6B¥34.0B¥46.1B-¥27.2B
FCF margin-7.3%2.5%12.3%13.7%-7.5%

Amounts in CNY · What is free cash flow?

Margins FY2025 gross margin 30.4% vs 38.4% (-8.0pp); operating margin -6.9% vs +10.9%. TTM gross margin 28.7%, operating margin -10.4%. Main cause: SG&A rose 53.8% to 114.9B against only 8.1% revenue growth. Q2 FY2026 gross margin rebounded to 33.5% from 28.5% in Q1 FY2026.

Balance sheet Leverage · Net cash

Cash & short-term investments
¥168.3B
Total debt
¥88.7B
Net cash
¥79.6B
Current ratio
1.9x

As of Jun 30, 2026 · Amounts in CNY · How to read a balance sheet

Management and track record

Valuation range

BearHK$40.96-43.4% vs price
BaseHK$161.18+122.9% vs price
BullHK$364.54+404.2% vs price

Implied value per share · Price when researched: HK$72.30

Each scenario assumes five years of revenue growth, an FCF margin and an exit multiple, discounted to today. The assumptions and sensitivities are in the full report.

The full report also covers

The full report is for members.

More Hong Kong stocks